The UK Office of National Statistics (ONS) has revealed the most recent data, which revealed net migration to the UK for the year 2022 was 606,000.
The latest report of the net immigration-driven gain to the UK population topped the record 504,000 number for the year to June 2022, but not reaching the 1-million mark that some forecasts had anticipated.
They will not. The present statistics are made up of immigrant cohorts that correspond to the stated motivations for and limitations on governmental thought and action on immigration policy.
The 'policy status quo' in the short and medium term is more likely to result from the most recent net migration data.
If there is any change at all in response to the most recent migration statistics, it will come in the form of a few slivers of additional liberalization (more provisions for short-term productivity) mixed with a few very slight restrictions at the very outer edges that were already announced (targeting student dependents and migrants entering illegally on boats).
An unrealistic goal – Net Migration
Then-opposition leader David Cameron promised that under a Conservative administration, net migration would be cut to the "tens of thousands" in 2010. Many people believed that this contributed to the 'taking back control' rhetoric of the Brexit discussion. It was not an opposition to foreign workers in general, much less an objection to highly trained foreign employees who had been subject to entrance rules, who were required by the UK. Instead, in the context of immigration, this motto targeted people entering the UK on a whim.
The Conservative party's pledge that "overall numbers will come down" in 2019 was puzzling because Brexit had already been accomplished and a system was being developed to "take back control" of immigration by subjecting all workers to UK immigration control, which is the current system in place.
The majority (almost 80%) of immigrants arriving in the UK for job (25%), study (39%) and humanitarian reasons (19%), including unusual events like those travelling from Hong Kong and Ukraine, made up the net migration data.
These cohorts show the effectiveness of the agreed-upon post-Brexit sponsor worker immigration system, which as a trade-off for the UK losing unrestricted access to EU workers deliberately liberalized criteria intended to attract high skilled workers, representing the agreed-upon "taking back control." They also show the success of political decisions made in response to uncontrollable global events (like accommodating Ukrainians and Hong Kong citizens) and low spending on public services.
Despite acknowledging the high net migration numbers, the PM has not yet established a schedule for their reduction or determined the appropriate level of legal immigration. His attendance at the most recent G7 conference in Hiroshima, Japan, made it clear that the amount hinged on the pursuit of economic development and the closing of labour market disparities.
According to a leading UAE immigration lawyer in London, “These remarks are in line with the fact that the UK government's fiscal and growth plans, which were outlined in the country's most recent budgets, are dependent on Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) growth forecasts, which in turn depend on an increase in net migration as long as the country's current immigration system remains in place. The administration must let the net migration predictions come true since it depends on them. “
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